Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 365.419036 414.641674 469.344455 534.875756 611.545815 698.768913 806.019596
2025-10-05 301.252954 368.190199 449.495317 556.509488 695.118049 870.600717 1112.818373
2025-10-12 269.196510 345.498908 443.836083 581.869706 773.874239 1036.438054 1431.412758
2025-10-19 239.176837 318.800156 426.272614 585.043299 819.028202 1160.065790 1711.910606
2025-10-26 210.850604 289.674877 400.106918 570.214789 833.228485 1237.796920 1934.981118
2025-11-02 189.556643 267.383740 380.043145 560.150853 850.923041 1320.778010 2179.385995
2025-11-09 178.450472 258.311900 377.703232 575.777437 909.819775 1477.548614 2580.523319
2025-11-16 164.857648 243.888441 365.306271 573.230092 937.386159 1584.347174 2911.948250
2025-11-23 152.159070 229.498562 351.247564 565.778922 954.658584 1674.361650 3228.927017
2025-11-30 143.135006 220.006539 343.946664 568.603031 990.091666 1803.085425 3654.224712
2025-12-07 132.701828 207.265874 329.958425 557.819331 998.259512 1879.171746 3981.296659
2025-12-14 124.748342 197.940128 320.820720 554.610913 1020.239707 1986.412402 4406.024425
2025-12-21 113.884215 183.040734 301.072986 530.153598 997.884383 1998.816597 4610.488899
2025-12-28 110.861338 181.400100 304.591268 550.476939 1070.550317 2233.860713 5456.269381
2026-01-04 108.705455 181.045954 310.299267 575.621158 1157.190223 2518.400344 6531.788045
2026-01-11 103.768679 175.288142 305.439640 578.743461 1195.545815 2694.427035 7352.132937
2026-01-18 97.064886 165.804344 292.724467 564.104730 1191.065901 2761.645058 7857.432146
2026-01-25 91.506460 158.055605 282.723395 554.168264 1196.282452 2855.433445 8484.042376
2026-02-01 89.249981 156.338782 284.347094 569.596598 1265.208370 3136.450965 9869.449939
2026-02-08 85.226856 150.957977 278.215491 567.081640 1288.959944 3295.472628 10874.846081
2026-02-15 81.018702 144.939257 270.321837 559.725052 1299.222801 3417.407266 11789.033030
2026-02-22 78.105754 141.266693 266.961957 562.513340 1336.734860 3630.795049 13179.261021
2026-03-01 74.148237 135.269455 258.299614 551.866245 1336.300093 3724.883059 14095.957152